25-Year Community-Level Population Projections—Now Available From Statistics Canada

Statistics Canada has released population projections for census divisions and census subdivisions, broken down by projection scenario, age, and gender. This new data shows annual estimates through 2049 providing insight into how communities across the country may change over time under different projection scenarios.

Data release date: November 18, 2025

Source: Statistics Canada. Table 17-10-0162-01

What sub-provincial projections are available for NL?

Projection scenarios are available for Newfoundland and Labrador's 11 census divisions and census subdivisions (communities) with a population of 800 or more.

There are 10 different projection scenarios (e.g. low-growth, medium-growth, high-growth, fast-aging) that show how the population may change over a 25-year period (2024-2049).

The population scenarios are broken down by age group and gender. This provides insight into how the number of children, working-adult, and senior age groups may change over the next 25 years.

Where can I get the projections?

You can view and download the data table from Statistics Canada by following this link:

Projected population for census divisions and census subdivisions, 2021 boundaries, by projection scenario, age and gender, as of July 1

The technical report is also available: Population Projections for Census Divisions and Subdivisions, 2024 to 2049: Technical Report